CAMPAIGN STRATEGY?

UPDATED. Where It May Be Best to Focus RFK Jr Campaign Efforts

This video shows the following campaign-relevant data.

What Power Do the Independents Have Over Trump? || Peter Zeihan

EV = Electoral Votes

DEM: 237 EV: 6 strongly Dem, 13 weakly Dem
CA55, NY29, MA11, MD10, CT7, VT3, = 115
IL19, MI15, MN10, VA13, DE, NJ, RI, ME, WA12, OR8, CO10, NM, HI = 122

REP: 95 EV: 7 strongly Rep, 9 weakly Rep
UT6, ID4, MT4, WY3, ND3, SD3, AK3, = 26
NE, KS, OK, MO10, AR, TN11, MS, AL, SC = 69

SWING: 206 EV: 15 Tossup States (grouped)
PA19, OH17, IN11, KY8, WV4, WI10, IA6)) NH4))
FL30, GA16, NC16)) TX40, LA8)) AZ11, NV6))

CAMPAIGN FOCUS SUGGESTIONS

(In Tossup States)
PHILLY, PITTSBURGH, CLEVELAND, CINCINATTI, INDY, MADISON, DE’MOINE’
ORLANDO, ATLANTA, CHARLOTTE, HOUSTON, DALLAS, N’ORLEANS, PHOENIX, LASVEGAS
(In Weakly Partisan States)
CHICAGO, STLOUIS, MEMPHIS, WASHDC, STPAUL, DENVER, SPOKANE, SEATTLE, PORTLAND

I presume that it would be worthwhile for RFK Jr to speak in MA and CA too, where he should have considerable support already, although I’m just guessing.

UPDATE:

LS wrote:
Agreed that "swing" states hold the balance between Trump and Biden.
In this sense, RFKJ could "tip" (what they call "spoil") the election for one over the other.

Perot was said to have done this for Clinton in 1992.
We should remember that (one-man-show) Ross Perot got ZERO electors.
Despite an impressive 19% of the national vote, Perot won NO state.

Compare with George Wallace in 1968.
Wallace got roughly 13% of the national vote but WON FIVE states (Deep South)
Wallace was the last-gasp of the segregation Democrats.
So not an example to follow so far as issue-policies.

I believe that RFKJ needs to target states he is most likely to WIN, FIRST.
Those will likely also be "swing" states, but not necessarily.
Look at states where he is most popular (and not just those who swing)

One last thought:
It takes a MAJORITY of ELECTORS to be president.
It is possible for RFKJ to win enough states that NEITHER Biden or Trump has a majority.
That has not happened since 1824. (Depends how you count 1876, which was "disputed")
If no one has a majority, the HOUSE of Representatives picks the president voting BY STATE.
The elephants win that easily. (California is reduced to one vote)
But RFKJ will have had an influence not seen since 1824!

"CAMPAIGN FOCUS SUGGESTIONS
. . . (Weakly Partisan States)
CHICAGO, STLOUIS, MEMPHIS, . . . "
We made the list. WELL WORTH NOTING.
FYI. Missouri was historically the ultimate swing state.
From Teddy Roosevelt 1904 up until Dubya Bush 2004 Missouri picked the winner in EVERY presidential election except Stevenson v. Eisenhower.
Since Obama, Missouri has been reliably elephant.
But I expect that could change soon enough. I would not count us out.